Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 6.840508 7.554342 8.346696 9.298401 10.419871 11.711331 13.328756
2025-02-09 5.895835 6.884406 8.080235 9.663366 11.752440 14.489825 18.486242
2025-02-16 5.234456 6.325671 7.719291 9.687447 12.499885 16.561681 23.286922
2025-02-23 4.860740 6.039103 7.612635 9.960721 13.562846 19.264655 29.994567
2025-03-02 4.384024 5.544717 7.140344 9.610940 13.592413 20.329234 34.334912
2025-03-09 4.034092 5.180796 6.797424 9.383767 13.743048 21.599230 39.648544
2025-03-16 3.775923 4.917606 6.565054 9.283120 14.067308 23.251410 46.719282
2025-03-23 3.653354 4.835002 6.586698 9.583851 15.144468 26.707806 60.862573
2025-03-30 3.410410 4.553889 6.274758 9.280784 15.031727 27.583722 68.313486
2025-04-06 3.189358 4.289880 5.966764 8.946843 14.798032 28.116270 75.211237
2025-04-13 2.990019 4.046230 5.672362 8.604556 14.490980 28.390735 81.578204
2025-04-20 2.862125 3.904373 5.531268 8.522654 14.712463 30.098841 96.268626
2025-04-27 2.848162 3.950068 5.719989 9.111428 16.606093 37.549910 159.158899
2025-05-04 2.785277 3.915983 5.776071 9.468154 18.116385 45.110640 265.671523
2025-05-11 2.675771 3.797536 5.673734 9.491611 18.820895 50.523930 406.358005
2025-05-18 2.611489 3.748209 5.687755 9.756702 20.243429 60.152470 828.106617
2025-05-25 2.470117 3.560693 5.435956 9.417380 19.899969 61.735326 1133.819299
2025-06-01 2.356355 3.413648 5.247958 9.196905 19.858513 64.933137 1827.485416
2025-06-08 2.267510 3.304144 5.121570 9.099201 20.168558 70.467527 4106.654985
2025-06-15 2.232774 3.285359 5.163543 9.391094 21.793748 86.187211 172698.275717
2025-06-22 2.132317 3.146685 4.966269 9.096933 21.414972 88.206199 NaN
2025-06-29 2.035061 3.009523 4.764273 8.772650 20.871001 88.653905 NaN
2025-07-06 1.942839 2.877655 4.565834 8.440086 20.239759 88.019046 NaN